Saturday, April 23, 2022

CHAINS OF MANY KINDS...HOUSING, HISTORY, GOVERNMENT AND FREEDOM (ORIGINALLY PUBLISHED 8/14/12)

Sixty years ago we bought our first house. It was $11,000.00. About ten years later we sold it for $30,000.00. Basically housing prices rose steadily for sixty years. Along the way home ownership became a cult idea. It started with Roosevelt and ended in a crescendo of speculation and absurd overpricing. No one really knew why a house was worth so much and why everybody should have one. There were lots of theories. Are we now faced with a cyclical downturn in housing demand? Or have we reached a tipping point where more and more people say “Hey I don’t need a 3,000 square foot house… I just need a 1,200 or 1,600 square foot home.” That would be a break in the mania, not just a typical cyclical decline. I don’t think too many people would argue with the idea that everyone should have all the “good things in life”, the only real difference of opinion would be how to accomplish that goal.

Abraham Lincoln once had a debate with Stephen A. Douglas. They were both running for Senator of Illinois. Douglas said the slaves of the south were better off than the northern immigrants. His rationale was that slaves were property and generally treated better than the northern laborers. This appeared to be true at the time. Lincoln’s response was that the difference between the northern laborers and the slaves was that northern laborers would eventually be upwardly mobile, one after the other. One would a start business, many would begin to hire their own employees and another would rise up in someone else’s business. Whereas he said that slaves, on the other hand, couldn’t go anywhere. They had their chains.

Unfortunately there are many kinds of chains. One can be chasing an impossible dream that housing prices will rise forever, or that internet prices will rise forever, or that people will stay pessimistic forever or that the government will provide for you forever. We are reaching the point where millions and millions of people are working for the government. We are increasingly restrained by an enlarging government which is viewed as beneficial but instead, in many ways, is becoming a new form of imposed chains.

Almost every significant unionized industry in America has failed. Now the largest unionized segment in America is government. I’m not against unions, anymore than I am pro-incompetent management. But they have both often caused more harm than good and been well compensated along the way.

People don’t leave what they believe to be secure environments. With unionized government jobs you’re unlikely to leave. You give up on opportunity. You generally vote for those in control that convince you that this is a good deal. You are mentally captured by what they seem to be providing and give up almost any chance for significant opportunity. Are we now on the road to the subtle enslavement state? You may be free to go, but how can you. Lincoln was right when he implied that “chains” come in many different varieties.

Government can only be paid for by taxes. If wages and salaries aren’t rising, and stocks aren’t rising, and houses aren’t rising, there isn’t going to be much to pay for future government. Freedom to succeed will ultimately create  a more economically equal society. Reducing that freedom, whether well meaning or not, will ultimately prolong the problem. Certainly taxation without representation, where a small percentage of the people pay almost all of the taxes, will not work. The ultra wealthy who attempt to shield their real tax reducing methods, while shouting for equality, don’t help solve our problems.


Saturday, April 16, 2022

.TODAY A DOOR MAN MIGHT

There  was a day when a doorman was considered security. not today. A doorman is  of little or no security value.Most dont even consider serious security within there job definition.There is no way to secure a free country of  330 million people.A feeble attempt to do so is to placate the people not change level of  safety.MOSTLY we r on our own.Until we can admit that Lincoln didnt care if he freed the slaves or not.Union at any cost was his objective. THE FOUNDING FATHERs KNEW THE CANCER OF SLAVERY WOULD BLIGHT THE COUNTRY . In spite  of this recognition they knew that the issue could not be resolved at the time.In the day America was not a country. It was a agglomeration. They   were europeans,mostly.Could a mix of so many different folks be blended together and work . We still dont know. We  r a work in process.The glass is shaking but still standing.        `Russia is not just another country. Whether putin is crazy or not  he sees  that the usa was created not  from revolution but  the civil war.In more recent times we couldnt have won world war 2 without russia. They lost 25 million people, so maybe they see things a little differently.NO country has been able to defeat russia when it really counted.In the nuclear age trying to win is  a path to no where ,unless   u really mean it.

Sunday, March 13, 2022

RUSSIA

Russian has absolutely no problem sending arms to Syria and other places in the Middle East.

We don't have the mindset to send all necessary arms to Ukraine.  The last I heard, Russia has a Destroyer parked in Cuba.  As far as I know, there is the Monroe Doctrine which prohibits such actions.

Obama should at least tell the Russians to get the Destroyer away from the US Coast.  He won't.

Russia will keep moving forward and possibly even attempt to recapture its lost European satellite countries.  Why not, there is no one to stop them.  published 2012

RUSSIA - A NATION ON A MISSION...(ORIGINALLY PUBLISHED 4/16/14)

Gorbachev dismantled the Russian Federation.  Putin is going to rebuild it.

There are 140 million people in Russia.  Putin knows population counts.  Atomic weapons aren't going to be used therefore you need, in Putin's view, a powerful armed forces.

Ukraine has over 40 million people. Controlling the Ukraine would increase Russia's population significantly.

China doesn't care.  India doesn't care.  Europe is impotent.  We have developed a similar proclivity.

Most Americans don't serve in the Armed Forces.  It wouldn't be too difficult to make the leap into believing that we are served by a mercenary hired Armed Forces.

Europe and other countries in close proximity to Russia will have increasing fear of Russian aggression.  Our middle eastern allies will have an increased tendency to look East.   published2014

The West didn't lend help to the Ukraines...the consequences should be clear.  Weakened influence around the entire globe. 

Monday, February 21, 2022

insider trading in congress

 THE latest media fake news is about congress members not being able to buy individual stocks. If a proper study was done, i am sure you would find several facts. (1)

 no one makes money that way. (2) congress members as a group tend to underperform other investors.(3)even less qualified people will run for office.(4) there r already numerous insider rules hence easy to fix if really a real problem.(5) and lastly so many bigger problems

Wednesday, December 29, 2021

the border

Bidens border policy is  one big lie.He knows he needs more democratic votes. Without more votes democratic government control  will diminish.Set Harris up to be the fall guy.She does nt care if she looks weak and confused.HER POLICIES REQUIRE MORE VOTES. SO JUST LET THEM IN ILLEgally.BIDEN PELOSI HARRIS Schumer know the way the voting system works. The founders set things up so in the end the voters control.Unfortunately we are not a democray .. We are a republican democracy much different

Sunday, March 14, 2021

Saturday, October 3, 2020

THE OTHER CHOICE IS MUCH WORSE

 r u familiar with Washingtons telling his doctors to bleed him.Do you remember the the fears created by the socialist call to the  world running out of food because population growth was to fast.DO U KNOW THAT COUNTRIES LIKE CHINA RUSSIA GERMANY   ETC HAVE VERY FEW NEGROES.do u remember when americans didnt want to help europe against hitler.do u know that the government never invested your social security money so it could grow. Do you realize just a few years ago the left wing believed oil would disappear.DID TRUMAN KNOW THAT BY DROPPING AN aTOMIC BOMB he would doom world to constant fear OF OBLITERATION Some interpeters even believe revelations is  about the end of the world. Others say its about new beginnings.cigarettes still for sale in local drug store

Thursday, September 24, 2020

 WHY  DONT ALL THE  LEFTISTS MOVE FROM THEIR MANSIONS TO THE POORER NEIGHBORHOODS.UNTIL WE EXPOSE THE LEFT THERE WILLNOT BE PEACE.MANY OF THEM HAVE TEN CARS. THATS FINE BUT NOT IF YOU SAY ONE THING AND DO ANOTHER.TIME FOR A NATIONAL ECONOMICS LESSON

Friday, April 24, 2020

CORONA LYSOL AND

During the largest smallpox epedemic someone had an idea.
A Gardners young son was dying and full of sores. SOMEONE decided to rub a cloth with the disease.THen rubbed the infected cloth on the wounds of new smallpox cases.ANDso began the beginning of a vaccine THE patients very often lived. Could u imagine if anyone would reccomend such an approach today,THIS PROCEDURE HAD A NAME. GO LOOK IT UP.BY THE WAY THE BOY LIVED BEYOND EXPECTATIONS  STAY SMART.

Friday, February 28, 2020

HILLARY/SANDER'S HERO - SAUL ALINSKY...(ORIGINALLY PUBLISHED 6/13/12)



Saul Alinsky pontificated in his Rules for Radicals that to destroy the American system that a realistic radical is completely unconcerned about the verification of facts and that they are only interested in their agenda. He states that the purpose of radicals is to sew discontent and to seek to create an environment so they can influence the generally ignorant population to support political goals that would otherwise be unsupportable in the face of the facts.

TRUMP AND THE "FAKE"MEDIA - THE REAL STORY (ORIGINALLY PUBLISHE 2/5/17)

If you really want to get confused, remember that CNBC really should not be in the business of giving investment advice to the public.  What an abomination.

There is no such thing as the free press and media.  There are however less than a dozen large companies that control practically all of the TV stations, radio stations, Internet access, newspapers, etc.

They are Disney, Viacom, Comcast, CBS, Fox and half a dozen others.

These are companies whose sole objective is to increase the value of their shares by attention getting words and pictures.

ALL OF THE PEOPLE WE SEE ON TV ARE ACTORS AND EMPLOYEES OF THESE LARGE CORPORATIONS.  THEY ALL WORK FOR A HIERARCHY OF MANAGERS AND MUST ADHERE TO THE CORPORATE POLICIES AS SET FORTH BY THE CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER, THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS AND THE CONTROLLING SHAREHOLDERS.

In addition, almost all the so-called media are reading from teleprompters words that are produced and written by people in the back room probably with an average age of less than 40.

A small group of executives control the media so when President Trump says fake media he is not too far off base.

I will close with one example. In the New York Times Sunday Magazine section dated February 26, 2017 there was an article about the increase in private school enrollment..  If you look at the statistics in the enrollment in private schools you will  find the left wing writer made up the story based on completely inaccurate facts. Private school enrollment is down.  A perfect example of completely fake news.

So when you are watching TV or reading the news,  it is not free speech it is entertainment.

If you really want to get confused, remember that CNBC really should not be in the business of giving investment advice to the public.  What an abomination.  

Thursday, February 27, 2020

HIGH FREQUENCY TRADING...(ORIGINAL POSTING 8/6/11)



When the housing boom was taking place it developed huge vested interest in the continuation of the housing bubble. A voice in the dark could point out the absurdities of what was happening but the enjoyment of inflated prices and profits overwhelmed sanity, logic, discipline and history.

In my opinion, we are now being faced with a "time bomb" that will far exceed long term capital management, the insurance protection decline of the 1980s and the financial collapse of 2008. This huge "Black Swan", huge beyond comprehension, will hit when least expected and we will wonder why it wasn't dealt with before. The answer will be found underneath the rubble of certain greedy Wall Street types and vested political interests.

We cannot permit automated machine type trading, with no relationship to companies outlook, etc. to dominate the volume of trades in the stock market. There is no excuse, none whatsoever, for creating a machine driven gambling casino mentality in order to justify the existence of capitalism.

Here is what's going to happen. A computer driven decline will occur and the brakes will fail due to human error or whatever causing the equity wealth of the country to be sharply cut again. Because there will be something happening in the world at that time, recovery will not be as fast as it was in the late 2000's. All computerized trading, of the type we are referring to, should be made illegal and stopped before its too late.

The vested interest will tell you otherwise and make their case. Just like in the long term capital case they are mostly using other people's money and are more concerned with their chance of winning than losing. The monies not theirs anyhow and there is no concern for the system, only their own profits.

Look at the erratic swings in the stock market that have occurred in the last few weeks. We draw this as a small example, a very small example, of what is coming if we don't stop this type of computerized trading.

CAPITALISM WILL FAIL IF THIS IS HOW IT'S CONDUCTED.
P.S. Please remember that I am a very strong supporter of capitalism and many of the activities that our financial firms participate in. The probably isn't a better system than ours.

Thursday, February 13, 2020

amazon microsoft

And the money kept rolling in.Until it didn"t. Evita.The contract dispute between Amazon and Microsoft may seem like an ordinary battle between 2 giants with powers far beyond the money kept rolling in.It   is almost impossible to believe that we could even joke about the concentration of power that bezos is aiming for; As our stock rises the money keeps rolling in but underneath beware, Why would this small piece of business be so important to risk it all. He sees that our cohesion is so befuddled that just maybe the real story is way over our pay grade/

Saturday, January 4, 2020

peace but not at any cost

IF you punch someone right or wrong there are all kinds of risks.president Lincoln was told to forget slavery and stop the civil war;So many were dying.He kept going against huge out cries to forget the slaves .Of course there was the Peace in our time man, Chamberlain.  50 MILLION died, Didn't we learn from Pearl Harbor. The list of impossible choice is endless but sometimes they must be made.

Friday, January 3, 2020

drones unknown

drones over Colorado.don't know whose they are or what they are doing. But tv can say DRONES take out Iran general. What does this lackadasical security remind you of.

Monday, December 30, 2019

medical costs will keep on rising

In THE 1950s the democratic congress was going berserk about drug prices, Like it or not the new York times was up in arms in support of the the robbing OF drug profits The price of medical care has risen ever since. medical care  is bankrupting the country and cancer heart disease and everything else  are not cured/ the government has failed.and the people have followed along.  I AM 82 MOST MEDICAL dollars are spent on people my age or older.

Saturday, December 28, 2019

THE FALACY OF BEING WELL KNOWN

nytimes headline  heart procedure costs 32000 //elsewhere well under ten.TOTALLY FAKE NEWS.LIST  EVERY COST ITEM. ASK WHAT ACCOUNTS FOR THE DIFFERENCE. LABOR COST Number OF WORKERS INVOLVED ETC. THE DIFFERENCE WOULD BE LABOR AND NUMBER OF PEOPLE INVOLVED/ THEN WRITE WHAT U WANT BUT STOP THE FAKE NEWS

the end game unless amazon the enemy dont kid yourself

once there was a super market. You bought all different items. That was your food portfolio.Then it happened that a super  market of every stock was invented due to computers. That became your stock portfolio. Then china figured out how to make every  product. That became your ;product portfolio.  Then amazon figured out how to put every product online  and sell them all from one place.China, amazon and financial indexes  the real unfolding problem By the way we created an index of news the ultimate illness. Pres trump see  the very negative implications of what occurring.People will care but just not yet  good luck.
 

Shepard Osherow. All Rights Reserved